Forgive me for butting in in what seems to be a private discussion between Liz and Law...But when law posted :
Oil is important to our way of life...important enough to fight over. We are concerned with islamic terrorism precisely because it threatens our access to oil.
What you said here is quite correct,but there are several jokers in the deck that you failed to mention...namely Saudi Arabia , China and Russia.
First Saudi Arabia , a thoroughly corrupt regime , that we are propping up , because thats our only option. We dare not to invade that country because of Mecca and Medina...even tho most of our enemies (men , philosophy , and finance ) originate in this Kingdom...but if we invaded 1.5 billion moslem , from Indnesia to Morroco would be up in arms and most of these governments would be toppled as a consequence unless they sided with the Jihadists.
Now this is only hypothetical a what if proposition...
But in the mean time China is building pipelines across Asia all the way to Iran and the Caspian oil regions...they are also making treaties (to build refineries and help opening up new fields) with the governments of Venezuela and the Sudan...why are they doing that ? Because they are in the same position that the west , they need the oil. Ater all their economy is flush with american dollars.
Now as far as the third party is concerned , namely Russia...they are sitting in the "catbird seat"...they will deal with anyone , as long as the money is there...And where does most of that money come from ? The West thats where.
In the end , it is probable that the marketplace will be the deciding factor...no matter how many soldiers were stationed in the middle east the oil price went to 100 dollars per barrel regardless. After all, it is not the military that controls oil prices , but it is tha oil company that does.